| The Framingham coronary prediction method
estimates the risk of coronary health disease (CHD) over the course
of 10 years. Angina pectoris, myocardial infarction (heart attack),
and death from coronary disease are considered CHD for the purposes
of the scoring. Other heart and vascular diseases are not included.
The factors used to calculate the score include age, sex, total
cholestorol level (mg/dl), HDL cholesterol level (mg/dl), systolic
blood pressure (mm/Hg), and whether the person smokes. The answer
is given as a percentage.
The FRS applies only to people without known heart disease
The 10-year hazards of CHD are overall high in older persons
which might over-identify patients requiring aggressive interventions.
Relative risk estimates (risk in comparison with low risk individuals)
may be more useful than absolute risk estimates in the elderly.
Similarly, because the score estimates the risk of developing
CHD within a 10-year time period, the . This risk score may not
adequately reflect the long-term or lifetime CHD risk of younger
adults.
A recent large-scale
study of men under age 30 with no history of heart problems
found the FRS was not effective in predicting problems. The system
is much more accurate in older people. There has also been suggestion
that the system
underestimates risk among lower socioeconomic groups. The
medical profession has come to understand the limitations of FRS
but still finds it useful. Additional tests for atherosclerosis
are under development. A system called the Pathobiological Determinants
of Atherosclerosis in Youth (PDAY) score has been developed for
people ages 15 to 34.
The federal government offers an online
calculator for figuring your risk. http://hp2010.nhlbihin.net/atpiii/calculator.asp?usertype=prof
ITFPCHD
calculator
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